Hurricane Isabel Experimental Forecast

The following model predictions and products are provided by the Coastal Fluid Dynamics Lab at NC State University. These products are under review and the inputs and prediction capabilities are being enhanced as new near-real-time data sources in the Caro-COOPS array become available.

Waves

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Comments: This animation shows the nested WaveWatchIII/SWAN model results. The wave significant height (meter) within the red-window is simulated from SWAN, whereas the results outside the nesting window is computed by WaveWatch. The NHC official hurricane track forecast at 5PM September 16 was used for this simulation.

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Comments: Same as above except only showing the SWAN output.

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The above movie shows the simulated significant wave height fields from 9/16/12:00 to 9/18/12:00 based on WavewatchIII. The wind forceing was derived from the Holland hurricane wind model (Holland, 1980) using 09:00 PM, Sept. 15 NHC official track and intensity. For shallow waters near the coast, results from a simulation using the SWAN wave model nested within WavewatchIII will be posted shortly.

Update coming soon...